Washington DC; August 2026: Several US military leaders have advised Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth that prolonging large-scale operations against Iran is unsustainable and risks weakening their ability to confront threats elsewhere, including the US homeland, according to people familiar with a recent assessment prepared for the Pentagon chief.
The warnings, which has been prepared in detail for Hegseth by the heads of the Army, Navy and Air Force and the four-star commanders overseeing US operations throughout Europe, Asia and Latin America, appears in the August 14th edition of the Secretary of Defence Orders Book (SDOB), these people said. They described the assessment to The Washington Post on the condition of anonymity because the document is classified.
The SDOB, typically produced twice monthly, outlines the worldwide availability of US warships, aircraft, personnel and weapons systems. It reflects the president’s priorities for the force, which are carried out by the defence secretary, and includes insights from the military’s top generals and admirals that inform the directives the Pentagon issues.
As President Donald Trump has pressured Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and accept several US provisions for ending the stalemated conflict, he has been adamant that all options remain available to him, including further military action. Consequently, US Central Command, the headquarters responsible for prosecuting the Iran war, has kept a force of more than 50,000 troops on alert for months in case the president orders additional attacks.
The August 14th order book directs some troops deployed in the Middle East to remain there till September this year (2026) and some others into 2027, said those familiar with the document. The prospect of extending those forces further compelled military leaders to voice their concern, these people said.
Leaders of the US European Command, the US Pacific Command and the US Southern Command, along with the Navy’s top admiral, responded with what is characterised in the SDOB as a “non-concur”, those familiar with the assessment said, meaning they disagree with the secretary’s order to extend their forces but will execute it nevertheless.
The geographic combatant commands overseeing US operations in Europe, Asia and Latin America have had their ships, aircraft and other equipment pulled away to support the Iran conflict. This has limited their ability to conduct missions and ensure proper training, those familiar with the assessment said. The Navy, in particular, has had to stretch its capacity to keep up with wartime demands. Army and Air Force leadership concurred with Hegseth’s desire to extend their deployed forces, but each emphasized that doing so would come with significant risk, these people said.
Overall, the tenor from the military leadership is that the ongoing Iran operation, having reached the six-month mark, has been “too much for too long”, said one person familiar with the assessment.
The military’s warning to Hegseth, which has not been previously reported, offers new insight into the administration’s dilemma as Trump seeks to end the conflict on terms favourable to the United States while Iran, cognizant of the war’s unpopularity with most Americans and its mounting toll on the US arsenal, refuses to capitulate.
“Decisions regarding the scope and duration of specific force commitments to any Combatant Command are made based on the current threat assessment, strategic priorities established by the President, and the advice of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Combatant Commanders,” Sean Parnell, a spokesman for Hegseth, said in a statement to the media representatives. Sean Parnell added further, that the Pentagon “does not discuss internal operational processes”, including the Secretary of Defence Orders Book, “or specific concurrences, non-concurrences, or risk assessments provided by the Services or Combatant Commands during force allocation deliberations”.
The Secretary of Defence Orders Book also is reviewed by General Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. A spokesman for the chairman declined to comment and referred questions to Hegseth’s office. The order book is one avenue for senior military leaders to surface resource concerns and provide Hegseth with assessments on how gaining or losing assets will impact their objectives.
It’s common for commanders to discuss risk, said the one person familiar with the recent assessment. But the outlook now is “more dire” overall, this person explained, adding that certain generals and admirals were more expansive and frank than is usual in telling Hegseth they disagreed with orders to keep providing equipment and personnel when the operation’s trajectory remains uncertain.
The top military officials at European Command and Southern Command each cautioned Hegseth that lending their ships and surveillance aircraft to Central Command has degraded their ability to fulfill homeland-defence obligations, said those familiar with the assessment.
Admiral Samuel Paparo, the chief of Pacific Command, disagreed with the level of support he was ordered to continually provide, including an aircraft carrier strike group and naval destroyers, those familiar with the assessment said.
Admiral Daryl Caudle, the chief of Naval Operations, provided Hegseth with the dimmest picture, saying in the SDOB that the Navy cannot sustain its current level of support for the Iran conflict because there is no anticipated end date, those familiar with the assessment said.
The Navy has shouldered an extraordinary burden. It has been asked to supply dozens of vessels for the Iran campaign:
·First, to take part in the US assault and defend against Iranian counterattacks and, for several months;
·second, to enforce Trump’s blockade of Iranian ports as he attempts to force-open the Strait of Hormuz.
The deployments for some vessels and crews have been extended by months. Caudle conveyed to Hegseth that barely one-fourth of the Navy’s destroyer fleet is ready to deploy, a sharp decline from prewar levels, said those familiar with the assessment.
More broadly, the document says that the impact on ship maintenance, if demands imposed by the Iran operation continue unchanged, jeopardizes the fleet’s availability should other conflicts arise, people familiar with the assessment said.
At a recent event in Norfolk, he talked about the deployment extensions, calling them “very challenging for our sailors. I typically am not a big fan of extensions, and I push back hard on that, but the enemy gets a vote”, Caudle said, according to a transcript of his remarks provided by the Navy.
Although Army and Air Force leadership concurred with Hegseth’s current path for the Iran conflict, they conceded the challenges it has imposed, said those familiar with the assessment.
The Army’s 82nd Airborne Division, which in March mobilised 2,000 soldiers in response to the Iran war, will remain in the Middle East at least through September, said those familiar with the assessment. Some military officials anticipate that the unit — which would be central to any ground invasion of Iran — will be extended beyond that time frame, these people said.
Deployments for units operating the Army’s Patriot air defence systems, which shoot down missiles and drones targeting US bases, also are expected to be extended, said those familiar with the assessment.
The depletion of Patriot interceptors — as a result of the Iran war and previous donations to Ukraine — has limited the Trump administration’s ability to reescalate the war, as Tehran retains the ability to successfully target US facilities throughout the Middle East.
As per official sources, the Iran war also has drained US supplies of Terminal High Altitude Area Defence interceptors, those which are vital not only to the protection of American assets in the Middle East but to regional allies as well, and long-range Tomahawk missiles. About 25% of the Pentagon’s Reaper drone fleet has been lost, and US bases there have sustained billions of dollars in damage.
The Trump administration has maintained that reports of munitions shortages are inaccurate.
Many of the Air Force units sent to the Middle East to conduct bombing runs and other around-the-clock operations also are slated to stay in the region into 2027, those familiar with the assessment said.
A spokesman for Central Command declined to comment and referred questions to Hegseth’s office.
The recent “non-concurs” from some uniformed leaders mark the latest warning from military leaders about the war.
Moreover, Caine has advised the White House before hostilities began that the US lacked sufficient munitions, and support from allies to conduct an extended large-scale campaign. More recently, General Alexus Grynkewich, the head of European Command, privately warned the Pentagon that he lacked adequate naval forces to shield Israel and the US homeland from missile attacks, as The Post reported this month.
In the Pacific, key US allies have raised alarm that the Pentagon’s depletion of missiles and air defence interceptors leave them vulnerable to China. The Navy’s only dedicated aircraft carrier in the Pacific, a linchpin of the military’s plan to deter Beijing, was sent to the Middle East to relieve another carrier that has been deployed for more than 300 days.
Team Maverick.
