Ukraine Eyes Iran War To Kickstart Drone Export.
Kyiv; March 2026: The Russian attacks on Ukraine with the course of time has proven to be a trailblazer for Ukraine in drone interception. At present, the outbreak of war in the Middle East involving Israel-US-Iran is consolidating an export oriented platform for the Ukrainians to catapult the drone technology globally. In an effort to export Ukrainian systems and know-how, President Volodymyr Zelensky has criss-crossed the Gulf region this weekend to hash out deals with countries that have been targeted by waves of Iranian drone attacks this month.
“Ukraine is sharing expertise that is not available in the Middle East”, Zelensky have apprised the media reporters. “Expertise is not a drone, but a skill, a strategy, a system where a drone is one part of the defence”. Ukraine has already signed framework cooperation deals with Saudi Arabia and Qatar in recent days, while another awaiting with the United Arab Emirates. Zelensky has stressed that arms sales must be decided at the government level, warning businesses against engaging with clients directly.
Ukraine’s drone sector has drawn the limelight at the very moment. “Everybody is sitting and waiting”, said Oleg Rogynskyy, CEO of UForce, a UK-headquartered Ukrainian military tech company which says its Magura sea drone has been the subject of intense commercial interest from the Middle East.
Several industry figures said the US-Israeli war with Iran had underlined the potency of attack drones in modern warfare and exposed many countries’ vulnerabilities to their threat. The conflict, some reiterated, has presented Ukraine with a unique opportunity to jumpstart exports and create a world-leading industry that could provide the backbone for post-war reconstruction and prosperity.
Wild Hornets and SkyFall, two other top Ukrainian interceptor drone makers, said they too had received inquiries from Middle Eastern countries but like UForce were not directly negotiating contracts before getting a green light from Kyiv.
Anastasiia Mishkina, executive director at Tech Force in UA, an association of nearly 100 Ukrainian defence companies, said some members had asked the government for permission to export and were waiting for a response. “There is a risk of losing the moment because the international market does not wait”, she said.
Ukraine has developed its technology and expertise over years of countering Russia’s drone attacks – a threat that Gulf states now face from Iran’s relatively cheap Shahed drones. Hundreds of Russian drones are often fired at Ukraine in a single night, spurring an innovation race with the military and private firms developing interceptor drones to bring enemy craft down before they hit their targets.
These interceptors cost a few thousand dollars each, although they do not always succeed and Russia is constantly coming up with ways to get past them.
Ihor Fedirko, CEO of the Ukrainian Council of Defence Industry, a manufacturers’ association, estimated that Ukraine could export about $2 billion worth of weapons as a whole this year, excluding joint production ventures with allies. He predicted that in a best-case scenario, annual defence exports could reach as much as $10 billion in five years.
Ukraine produced 40,000 interceptor drones in January 2026, according to the government, which had earlier followed its objective of not exporting any weapons it needs to defend itself. Zelensky says that provided enough financing, but now, Ukraine has the capacity to up its production to 2,000 interceptor drones a day and would only need 1,000 for itself, leaving plenty for export.
Rogynskyy, the UForce CEO, said the Magura sea drone produced by his company had obvious allure in the Gulf. Ukraine initially used sea drones to attack and harry Russian warships in the Black Sea as an asymmetrical weapon to take on the dominant naval force. They have since become more niche, with Rogynskyy saying they could be mounted with interceptor drones to combat aerial drones over water.
Ukraine’s military, he added, was already using the Magura off its southern coast to intercept Russian drones that pour into the port city of Odesa from across the Black Sea at night. “It’s fully live, it’s tested,” he said. Rogynskyy said stations equipped with Maguras carrying interceptors could be sited along the Gulf’s shoreline, operating on software that reduced the need for many personnel.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has previously berated an unnamed Ukrainian-American company for selling interceptor drones without the government’s involvement. That, he said, had ultimately tainted Ukraine’s reputation because the soldiers needed to train the clients to use the drones had not been available as that could only happen with government backing.
Halyna Yanchenko, a lawmaker close to Ukrainian defence manufacturers, told media representatives that the government had moved very slowly to open up weapons exports, and manufacturers were still in dire need of capital to grow their operations. She said state policy governing how weapons exports would function was still being formed. Like Mishkina at Tech Force in UA, she believed there was a major risk that Ukraine could miss the moment provided by the Iran war if it did not move quickly.
Even if agreements are struck, officials and drone operators said it could take months to set up drone-based air defences and provide training.
Taras Tymochko, head of the interceptor drone program at Come Back Alive, a charitable foundation that has bought tens of thousands of interceptor drones for Ukraine’s military, said the sophisticated systems required a range of specialisms, from pilot training, combat experience and the know-how to safely arming warheads and fix technical malfunctions.
More important still, he said, was installing, configuring and correctly positioning radars to detect and track incoming drones and then to coordinate that work across different units. He predicted the learning curve would be quicker for the Gulf states than for Ukraine, which had to forge ahead on its own while fighting for its survival. “I’m confident that within a few months, some Gulf countries could form their own interceptor units and, a little later, begin demonstrating results”, Tymochko said.
“Unfortunately, in today’s reality, that time does not exist. But it is better to learn late than too late”.
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