Home World Race to the White House: Trump and Harris Neck-and-Neck in Final Hours.
World - November 4, 2024

Race to the White House: Trump and Harris Neck-and-Neck in Final Hours.

The U.S. is heading into a fiercely contested presidential election on November 5, with former President Donald Trump representing the Republican Party and Vice President Kamala Harris standing as the Democratic candidate. This election could prove historic, as Harris, aged 60, aims to become the first female President of the United States after stepping in when President Joe Biden withdrew from the race in July. Trump, aged 78, seeks a return to the White House, focusing heavily on economic issues and inflation in his campaign.

Polls suggest a tight race, with over 160 million voters expected to participate. Both NBC News and Emerson College polls indicate a 49%-49% tie, while Ipsos shows Harris with a slight lead, and AtlasIntel favors Trump. However, most polls reveal little difference between the candidates, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty and making analysts reluctant to make confident predictions.

As the election nears, both candidates have intensified their campaigns in key battleground states. Trump is focusing on states like North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, while Harris has prioritized Pennsylvania. These states, particularly in the Sun Belt and Rust Belt, are crucial for determining the outcome. Trump recently faced an assassination attempt at a rally in Pennsylvania, adding an unexpected element to the race.

Historically, Trump has performed well in swing states, such as Iowa, which he won by wide margins in 2016 and 2020. However, a November 2 poll from the Des Moines Register/Mediacom shows Harris with a surprising lead in Iowa, primarily due to support from female voters, marking a shift from earlier polling. A survey of 808 likely voters from October 28 to 31 placed Harris at 47% and Trump at 44%—though within the margin of error, this represents a significant shift from September’s results, where Trump led by four points. In contrast, an Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense poll from November 1 to 2 suggests Trump is still ahead in Iowa by 10 points, with support largely from male and independent voters, while Harris is stronger among younger voters.

www.mavericknews30.com, On November 3, a final New York Times/Siena poll revealed minor fluctuations in swing states, though all results fell within the margin of error, indicating a deadlock in these critical areas. Trump dismissed polls unfavorable to him, particularly the Iowa result, calling them “fake polls” and attributing them to opponents’ efforts to “bring him down.” With Iowa holding six electoral votes and 270 needed to win the presidency, both parties are making a final push in states like North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin to secure these decisive votes.

Alongside the presidential race, voters will also be electing members of the House of Representatives, one-third of the Senate, and 13 governors, adding weight to the overall impact of this election. This combination of factors, with polls showing both Harris and Trump neck-and-neck in key swing states, points to a historically close race. A final poll released before the election on November 5 suggests Trump holds a slight lead in most major swing states, with approximately 49% support, giving him an edge in the areas most likely to determine the election outcome. Both candidates are focusing their final efforts on securing these pivotal votes, underscoring the intense competition and high stakes of this election.

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