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World - December 16, 2025

Argentina’s Central Bank To Loosen Leash On US Dollar.

Buenos Aires; December 2025: Argentina’s Central Bank (BCRA) announced on 15th December 2025, a twist to its foreign exchange policy, which was welcomed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The new strategy seeks to further boost reserves and will become effective in January 2026.

“We welcome recent market access and announced steps to strengthen the monetary and FX framework, rebuild reserve buffers, and advance growth-enhancing reforms. We are working closely with the authorities as they implement these important measures”, IMF Spokesperson Julie Kozack wrote on social media.

In addition to the IMF, these measures were designed to appease private markets to increase the country’s payment capacity and prevent the exchange rate from “lagging to leading” to an over valuation of the peso against the US dollar.

The BCRA now aims to increase the monetary base from its current 4.2% of GDP to 4.8% by minting pesos to buy US dollars in the official market without “sterilising” (absorbing) those pesos afterward. Every percentage point the monetary base grows relative to GDP is believed to provide a “margin” to purchase approximately US$7 billion to US$10 billion in reserves without fuelling inflation, provided the public chooses to hold those pesos rather than trade them for dollars.

BCRA President Santiago Bausili noted that the bank will likely be participating as a buyer in the exchange market “most days”. To prevent the peso from becoming too expensive in real terms, the BCRA is abandoning its fixed 01% monthly increase for the “ceiling” of its currency bands.

Starting in January, the ceiling will be adjusted based on inflation which is projected to be a 2.5% jump in January. By allowing the currency to devalue in line with prices, the government hopes to reduce the current account deficit and encourage a more sustainable flow of dollars.

The announcement triggered an immediate response in the financial markets, with a country risk drop from 623 to 602 points, as investors gained confidence in the government’s plan. Additionally, sovereign debt bonds surged by up to 1.7% following the news.

The IMF has repeatedly pressured Argentina to build up its net international reserves—a goal the government has struggled to meet this year. By implementing this “remonetisation” excuse to buy dollars, the BCRA is attempting to get back on track with IMF targets while signalling to the market that it is prioritizing “exchange rate sustainability”, it was explained.

Team Maverick.

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